One CBS Sports analyst made a surprising claim about Drew Allar’s draft stock this week on CBS Sports HQ.
While many mock drafts still have Allar as a first-round pick, Shrine Bowl scout and former PFF analyst Mike Renner thinks Allar is trending towards being undrafted.
“He’s looking at UDFA at this point, truthfully,” Renner said. “Just because he cannot hit open targets. That was the story as a sophomore, as a junior, and still now. It’s even gotten worse than what we saw last year.”
Allar hasn’t played well enough for Penn State to take the final step it was looking for this year, and threw the game-sealing interception against Oregon. But to go undrafted? That would be shocking.
“I think the biggest stat that really nails this on the head is, it’s not just like downfield that he can’t hit guys, it’s easy throws,” Renner said. “Within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, his completion percentage on those throws is over 10 percentage points behind guys like Fernando Mendoza and Dante Moore.”
Allar’s 64.7% completion rate ranks 11th in the Big Ten and is only averaging 192.6 yards per game. His touchdown to interception ratio (8:2) has always been solid, but he hasn’t been given the creative freedom to work the ball downfield.
It feels like there is a lack of trust in Allar within the Andy Kotelnicki offense. Penn State prides itself on winning up front and running the football, but the offensive line continues to struggle. Nick Singleton (11) and Kaytron Allen (eight) only rushed for a combined 89 yards.
Allar has the upside and potential to be a star at the next level. The 6-foot-5, 235-pound senior has the traits, but hasn’t found the consistency to be great.
“I do think that Drew Allar’s stock right now is very, very low. The arm, the frame, it only goes so far,” Renner said. “At some point, you have to show improvement, you have to show you can be accurate, and right now he’s just not.”
Penn State and Allar look to right the ship of a 3-2 season after an embarrassing loss to UCLA. Penn State hosts Northwestern on Saturday at 3:30 p.m.
