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Odds: Penn State QB Drew Allar Among Favorites to go No. 1

Penn State QB Drew Allar has always had No. 1 pick potential
Photo by Matt Lynch, Nittany Sports Now: Matt Lynch

In the wonderful land of odds, Penn State QB Drew Allar is among the favorites to be the No. 1 pick in next year’s Draft.

Per the Bovada Sportsbook, Allar has the second-best odds of going No. 1.

The only one with higher odds is Texas QB Arch Manning, and the gap isn’t too wide.

Manning’s odds of going No. 1 are +200. Allar’s are +225. Two more quarterbacks in LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier (+450) and Clemson’s Cade Klubnik (+1800) round out the top four.

Quarterback is kind of an important position, so it should come as no surprise that four QBs have the best odds of going No. 1 overall.

HOW REALISTIC IS IT?

 

Could Penn State QB Drew Allar really go No. 1 overall in the 2026 Draft?

Photo by Matt Lynch, Nittany Sports Now: Drew Allar

So how realistic is it for Allar to go No. 1 overall?

Well, the tools have always been there. Allar’s frame (6-foot-5, 236 pounds) and rocket throwing arm are what made him the top QB in the country coming out of high school and arguably the most anticipated QB recruit in Penn State history. His numbers through two seasons starting at Penn State (49 touchdowns, 10 interceptions, 63% completion rate) are also solid.

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The biggest question surrounding Allar is his ability to perform in big games. Against conference foes Ohio State and Michigan, Allar and Penn State are 0-3. Allar also threw costly interceptions in Penn State’s Big Ten Championship Game loss to Oregon and its Orange Bowl/College Football Playoff semifinal loss to Notre Dame.

Allar will have plenty of opportunities to step up in that department this season. If he does, that will go a long way toward improving his draft stock.

WHAT COULD HAVE BEEN?

On an unrelated note, the guy with the fifth-highest odds to go No. 1 is Clemson DE TJ Parker. Parker was initially committed to Penn State.

Tomarrion Parker’s High School Coach Talks About Penn State’s Latest Commit

 

Although the excellence of Abdul Carter and Dani Dennis-Sutton on the EDGEs haven’t left Penn State longing for a star DE, it’s interesting to think about what the defensive line might look like had Parker stayed committed.

Regardless of draft odds, Penn State opens the 2025 regular season Aug. 30 against Nevada at Beaver Stadium.

 

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