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Penn State Predictions: Will PSU Fall Into Trap?

Penn State HC James Franklin say whether the team played its best first half of the season Nov. 9 in a 35-6 win over Washington. The stats say they did.
Photo by Matt Lynch, Nittany Sports Now: Penn State HC James Franklin

Itโ€™s time for Nittany Sports Nowโ€™s weekly Penn State predictions.

Will Penn State keep rolling on its path to a home College Football Playoff game?

Will Minnesota break PSUโ€™s hearts like it did in 1999 and 2019?

Vegas says no, which is why Penn State is a 11.5-point favorite. But what does our crew think will happen? Hereโ€™s what.

ANDY STINE, NITTANY SPORTS NOW/ALTOONA MIRROR

The Lions are playing too well to fall to a team that lost to Rutgers two weeks ago.

Penn State 42, Minnesota 21

JARROD PRUGAR, NITTANY SPORTS NOW/ALTOONA MIRROR

Penn State needs to stay away from slip ups. It needs to establish the run on offense and thwart the run defensively. If it does that, it should win handily.

Penn State 37, Minnesota 12

JOE SMELTZER, NITTANY SPORTS NOW

Penn State needs to focus on Minnesota DB Koi Perich, leads the Big Ten and is tied for second in the country with five interceptions as a true freshman.

MINNEAPOLIS, MN – SEPTEMBER 07: Minnesota Gophers defensive back Koi Perich (3) looks on after the college football game between the Rhode Island Rams and the Minnesota Golden Gophers on September 7, 2024, at Huntington Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN. (Photo by Bailey Hillesheim/Icon Sportswire)

Minnesota does indeed have a path to upset Penn State. That path is winning the turnover battleโ€” a statistic coach James Franklin brings up in every single one of his postgame press conferences. Plenty of Big Ten teams are better than Minnesota overall but none have intercepted the ball more times (16). When teams pull upsets, turnovers usually play a big part, and Minnesota is capable of causing some problems. But one of the strengths of Penn Stateโ€™s offense is that it takes care of the ball. QB Drew Allar has thrown 680 passes in his college career and only seven have been intercepted. Granted, three of them came Oct. 12 against USC ย (really, only two, considering one was on a Hail Mary). But even then, the Penn State defense held USC to a total of six points off those turnovers. So even if Allar does throw a pick, the Penn State defense is more than capable of limiting the damage.

I donโ€™t think Minnesota can win this game without turnovers, and even if it gets them, Iโ€™m not sure it can fully capitalize.

Penn State 24, Minnesota 13

These are our Penn State predictions. What are yours?

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