Last week was easy, peasy, lemon squeezy. I took the over of 69.5 in Alabama vs. Ole Miss, and the teams covered that number with six minutes left in the third quarter. The final of 63-48 blew past the over by 41 points!
This week I’ve got two picks for you, including one late Friday night.
BYU travels to Houston for a 9:30 p.m. kickoff. BYU is favored by 4 points.
Here’s the pick I LOVE! The moneyline for BYU is -180. Jump on that.
If you wager $100, you’ll win $55, for a good return. I like the moneyline a lot better than -4 for a team on the road. I can totally see this game coming down to a field goal, but I still think this overlooked BYU team comes out on top.
Before I get to my pick for Saturday, let’s talk moneyline wagers. If you’ve wagered for years through bookies, a lot of them wouldn’t give you a moneyline choice, so you had to bet the spread.
Now, with legalized sports betting in PA and some other states, you can pick between a whole slew of betting options through various sites. Yes, the vig is a lot higher on moneylines, but anything -200 or less will give you a good return of at least 50 percent, so those are solid plays if you really like one team.
For Saturday, Alabama is only favored by 4.5 points at home over Georgia. That is showing Georgia a lot of respect on the road, and I’m not sure the Bulldogs deserve for the number to be so low.
Alabama’s defense was awful in last week’s game at Ole Miss, but Georgia doesn’t run the same kind of fast-paced scheme as the Rebels. I can see Bama’s defense playing much better, and meanwhile, the Tide offense will have a good day.
So … the picks:
**BYU -180 moneyline (Friday)
Prediction: BYU 38, Houston 34
**Alabama -4.5 over Georgia
Prediction: Alabama 31, Georgia 23
Season record: 2-1-1