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Penn State Playoff: PSU Projected to Have Favorable Draw

Penn State coach James Franklin has plenty of reason to smile right now.
Photo by Matt Lynch, Nittany Sports Now: James Franklin

The latest College Football Playoff rankings are in, and as expected, Penn State finds itself in a solid position.

Penn State is ranked No. 3 by the CFP as it is in both the AP and US LBM Coaches Polls.

But what fans will be more interested in is where Penn State’s projected seeding is.

As of now, Penn State is the top-rated at-large team, meaning it’s the No. 5 seed. This sets Penn State up against Arizona State, the highest-Big 12 team. Arizona State must beat Iowa State in Saturday’s Big 12 title game to make the Playoff but it’s hard to argue Penn State wouldn’t be favored against either one of those schools.

But first, Penn State has an unexpected date in Indy this weekend.

BACK TO INDIANA

Penn State is going back to the Big Ten Championship Game for the first time since 2016 and just the second time overall.

Photo by Matt Lynch, Nittany Sports Now: Penn State RB Kaytron Allen

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Coming into Saturday, it looked like Penn State’s game against Maryland on Senior Day at Beaver Stadium would be the team’s last contest until Playoff time. Penn State was to beat Maryland as a heavy favorite, Ohio State was to do the same to Michigan and because Ohio State beat Penn State and Indiana, who also came into the week 7-1 in the Big Ten, Ohio State would go to the Big Ten Championship Game and play Oregon.

Well, Penn State did indeed pound Maryland. Ohio State didn’t do the same to Michigan, and as a result, Penn State will be playing Oregon Saturday, Dec. 7 for the Big Ten Championship.

WHAT IF PENN STATE LOSES?

Ohio State would be a heavy favorite in its first round matchup per FanDuel.

Penn State’s offense would come up short on 4th down in their eventual loss to Ohio State.

As many benefits as there are to Penn State playing in the Big Ten Championship Game, one (potential) drawback is, of course, PSU losing to Oregon. A win would guarantee Penn State a first-round bye. A loss would guarantee Penn State has to play in the first-round. The rest is up to the committee.

The first games of the expanded College Football Playoff are scheduled to begin Friday, Dec. 20 at 8 on ESPN/ABC.

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